Archives for December 1, 2008

Random Ruminations on the First Big Winter Storm

Our first real winter storm began yesterday, and it has been depositing snow on us ever since. We”ve gotten somewhere in the vicinity of five inches, and while the low has lifted off to the northeast, snow remains in the forecast for the rest of the week.\r\n\r\nA few days ago I was gazing wistfully at the GFS, rooting for a system over 300 hours out that promised to tug deep moisture northward into the Missouri boot heel and southern Illinois. I know better than this, but you have to consider the time of year and what it does to a man. And then there were those wild kinematics, that 500 mb jet streak sitting on top of the energy like bread on a sandwich…\r\n\r\nYes, it was only a way, way long-range model, but it hung together reasonably well for several runs. Now, of course, it”s gone, and I feel as gullible as a guy old enough to know better falling in love with Miss November on a gas station calendar.\r\n\r\nThe irony of it is, I know–I just know–that I”ll do it again. Dream on some fanciful GFS run two weeks out, that is, knowing that it”ll never materialize, knowing that I”m just dreaming, knowing that this is, for crying out loud, December. None of that matters. In fact, I expect I”ll continue to halfway hope for something to re-emerge for the eleventh or twelfth, and I”ll still look at the GFS–not expecting anything, mind you, but just in case…I mean, you never know. After all, there was January 5th in Missouri this year, and then the Super Tuesday Outbreak in February…\r\n\r\nRight.\r\n\r\nBy the way: What goes “Jingle, jingle, ho, ho, ho! BLAM! BLAM! Jingle, jingle, ho, ho, ho”?\r\n\r\nSanta Claus doing a drive-by shooting.\r\n\r\nDon”t laugh. That wasn”t a joke–it was a cry for help. This post is going downhill fast. I think I”ll let it. I ran out of things to say long ago, after the word Random in the headline.\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n